FOREIGN TRADE LIBERALISATION AND ECONOMIC GROWTH: THE CASE OF THE REPUBLIC OF SRPSKA

Goran Popović; Ognjen Erić; Srđa Popović

doi:10.2478/eoik-2019-0020

Authors

Goran Popović University of Banja Luka, Faculty of Economics, Bosnia and Herzegovina
Ognjen Erić University of Banja Luka, Faculty of Economics, Bosnia and Herzegovina
Srđa Popović Faculty of Mediterranean Business Studies, Tivat, Montenegro

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.2478/eoik-2019-0020

Keywords:

Liberalisation, growth, trade, export, small economies, Republic of Srpska

Abstract

This paper assesses the impact of trade liberalisation on the economic growth of the Republic of Srpska (RS). The aim of the research is to prove the hypothesis that trade liberalisation and export orientation positively impact on GDP growth. RS has characteristically small and open economies. The degree and character of the connections between the observed variables was determined by means of regression analysis. Regression analysis indicates that there is a positive connection between the total trade and GDP growth. Further, there is a marked positive correlation between export and GDP, that is, export growth contributes to GDP growth. Foreign trade deficit stands in a negative correlation with GDP. Lastly, regression analysis points to the connection between the Republic of Srpska economic growth and openness of its economy. However, uncontrolled opening and exposure to foreign competitiveness can also bring about problems which in certain circumstances lead to long-term macroeconomic instability.

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